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Daybreak: U.S. Doubts Iran Bomb Program

Plus WikiLeaks makes another splash, and more in the news

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Uggie of the Oscar-winning The Artist at the ceremony last night. (Joe Klamar/AFP/Getty Images)

• Despite increased uranium enrichment, U.S. intelligence, consistent with formal findings in 2007 and 2010, believes Iran has not yet decided to pursue a nuclear bomb and indeed may have halted its weapon program in 2003. [NYT]

• Emails newly disclosed by WikiLeaks reveal reports that Israeli and Kurdish commandos destroyed much of Iran’s nuclear infrastructure—followed by severe doubts that this happened. The emails came from Stratfor, the private defense agency which David P. Goldman wrote about. [Haaretz]

• In Iran, which holds parliamentary elections at the end of the week, there is less anger than despondency—many voters are likely to stay home. [WP]

• U.S. and British researchers and the U.S. Holocaust Memorial Museum are petitioning the United Nations to make public 10,000 documents related to war-crimes charges stemming from World War Two. Much more here. [AP/Vos Iz Neias?]

A Separation won Best Foreign Language Film. Any joy you might have, if you enjoyed the movie for example, will be eliminated when you find an Iranian news agency reporting that one of the films it defeated was produced by “the Zionist regime.” [IRIB]

• Of course, then this, from the red carpet, will cheer you up, as will the photo, above, of one star from the Best Picture-winning (and Jewish-written and -directed) The Artist.

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The official remarks from the government of Iran concerning the Academy Awards demonstrates how utterly misinformed they are with respect to Jews. I’d like to know how many Academy members are in fact Jewish.

Marc, have you actually read the Stratfor email exchange? Your tag line above reads pretty generously. The “reports” are pretty thin. Worth reading in full for a laugh: http://wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/185945_re-alpha-s3-g3-israel-iran-barak-hails-munitions-blast-in.html

Hershel (Heshy) Ginsburg says:

This intelligence finding, like its 2007 predecessor, is a fine specimen of ostrachism and useful idiocy. Indeed in early 2008 a US State Department analyst visiting Israel was rather dismissive regarding that intelligence finding.

The finding addresses the the extremely narrow issue of weaponization of the enriched U235, one of the final steps in making an atom bomb. Once all the other pieces are in place the actual weaponization is relatively straightforward. The most technically difficult & rate limiting step is actually the enrichment step & production of a sufficient quantity of U235 (as uranium hexafluoride). Hence the Iranians focus most (but not all) of their efforts on the producing sufficient quantities of U235, but strictly speaking this is not weaponization. Indeed a footnote early in the 2007 intelligence estimate admitted that Iran was focused on enrichment, which was probably for the ultimate purpose of building a weapon (duh…).

But a report like this (which no longer fools the IAEA or the EUniks, but is extremely effective against Tabletarians, the Times, & the Obama White House) is enough of a fig-leaf for the herd of progressobabbelian useful idiots to proclaim that Israel’s concerns are baseless and that Israel should put full faith in the Obamanoids to know when the Iranians actually get “serious” about building a weapon.

So Iran has spent a fortune building enrichment facilities inside a mountain, and has built or is building hardened facilities for other aspects of the nuclear fuel cycle (like a heavy water plant & a heavy water reactor for making plutonium without need of enriched uranium; plutonium provides the nuclear core of Nagasaki / “Fat Man” type atomic bombs) as high school science fair projects.

hg

Efrata / J’lem

2000

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Daybreak: U.S. Doubts Iran Bomb Program

Plus WikiLeaks makes another splash, and more in the news

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